Saturday, July 1, 2017

Mid Year 2017

Stock Portfolio Returns 

Year-to-Date Portfolio Returns:20.7%
STI index excl dividends: 12%

Number of stocks in portfolio: 24

Stock Portfolio Rules

1) Keep number of stocks in portfolio to 20-25 stocks.

2) I can only buy the stock till it is 10% of my portfolio

3) No stock can be larger than 20% of my portfolio. If the stock rises to above 20% of my portfolio, I need to trim my position in the stock.

Thoughts on Portfolio

It is harder to find stocks to buy in Singapore market. I have been sellng more Singapore stocks than buying in the last two months.

Instead, it is easier to find stocks to buy in the HK market. I have been buying HK stocks instead in the last two months.

Some portfolio actions in last two months:
Singapore Stocks
- Sold 1/3 of my Dutech position, in veiw of the poorer than expected 1Q 2017 results. If Dutech dropped by 10%, I may add to my Dutech position

- Sold down 75% of my position in Valutronics before the bonus share issue. The bonus share is 1:10. Is leaning towards keeping the remaining Valutronic shares for the dividends. Nonetheless, I may also dispose of the shares, as the position is smallish (around 1% of my portfolio).

- Sold 1/2 of my position in 800 Super at $1.32. The sale is due to the poorer than expected 3Q results. The sale will reduce my concentration in this stock to 5% of my stock portfolio. Prior to the sale, 800 Super is 10% of my stock portfolio.

- Sold 1/2 of my position in OCBC at $10.92. The sale is to take profit. After the sale, OCBC is around 1% of my portfolio. If the price rise further, I will sell all my remaining shares in OCBC.

- Add to my position of Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT) at $0.615. FEHT is around 4.5% of my portfolio.

- Add to my position in Cogent. I think Cogent earnings should continue to grow in the next 1-2 years.

HK Stocks
- Bought Hui Xian Reit, which is now around 2% of my portfolio. This reit offers more than 8% yield and trades at 2/3 book value.
- Bought China Overseas Land, which is around 4% of my portfolio. It is a China developer with rather interesting ROE of higher than 15% in the last few years.

Thoughts on Stocks

It is interesting that HSBC is now $72 and a year ago, you can snag it for less than $50. Too bad that I was not able to foresee this increase in share price and the under-valuation of HSBC a year ago, even though I am aware that the sentiment on HSBC was quite poor.

I read from somewhere that China banks are among those stocks with very poor sentiments. I agree somewhat with this view as the PE ratio of Big 4 China banks are quite low, even though there are some risks in investing in China banks. I may buy some shares in a big 4 China bank (listed in HKSE) if their share prices fall further.

Lowering Risk of Bad Outcomes

As one's net worth gets larger, lowering the risk of bad outcomes becomes more relevant and important. For example, if you have retired ...