I find Legg Mason Q2 2008 letter very interesting, especially from the hindsight bias perspective.
Bill Miller has noted that many people has stated the obvious (i.e. he should have avoided housing stocks, financial stocks etc and he should have stocked up oil companies) from the events that have passed, but nobody is able to state what is obvious NOW. This implies that most (if not all) people suffers from hindsight bias. We emphasize/over-stress on what should have been.
You may also find the letter interesting too.
Thursday, July 31, 2008
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USD Depreciation and US Treasury Bond Yields Rising
Last Thursday and Friday, US dollar (USD) has depreciated against major currencies such as Euro, Yen. On Friday, USD even depreciated again...
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Recently I've been reading the book "Hard Facts, Dangerous Half-Truths & Total Nonsense". The book has pointed out an very...
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Purchases Barrick Gold: Bought small stake due to exercise of sold put options. Sold all subsequently, as it was a mistake to buy Barrick Go...
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Falling prices. Posts on dread and losses on the forums. I losing money. However, I am feeling excited .. excited by the low prices. There i...