Friday, March 5, 2021

Some Thoughts

SG Hedge Funds Underperformance

I have been following the performance of Singaporean based hedge funds who practice value investing. It is interesting they have been under-performing the Asia Pac Ex Jap index based on last 5 years’ returns. I am guessing that part of the reasons is due to higher returns from tech shares and these hedge funds have under-weighted tech shares.

Tech shares have seen declines recently. If this trend continues, we may see these funds outperforming the index this year.

 

Returns

 

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Cumulative

 

Aggregate Asset

11%

13%

-10%

2%

4%

20%

 

Inclusif Class A

-

-

-9%

9%

6%

5%

 

Heritage Fund

21%

12%

-13%

8%

-1%

26%

 

Lighthouse Advisors

5%

21%

-21%

-5%

13%

8%

 

Lumiere Capital (SGD)

-8%

11%

-14%

8%

-3%

-8%

 

 

 

Asia Pac Ex Japan*

7%

30%

-11%

19%

19%

77%

 

FTSE Asia ex Japan Index ETF (HK 2805)

6%

40%

-14%

17%

24%

83%

 

*Extracted from Aggregate Asset webpage

 

 

Over-diversification?

I have been wondering lately if I have over-diversified my holdings and hence affect the performance of my stock portfolio

 

Number of Stocks

At end 2016

21

At end 2020

39

At 5 Mar 2021

35

 

In 2021, I have started to reduce my holdings with the following allocation guidelines:

·         Initial stock position of 3%

·         Can build to 5% if the stock prices fall further or there is secular growth trend behind it

·         Can build to at most 8% if the stock is very undervalued

·         Stock position cannot be more than 20%. (This has not occurred so far, as I will start to reduce the position as the stock price rises)

80% of CapitaLand China Trust debts are in SGD

Earlier, I noted that Chinese reits have debts in non-RMB ( link ).  CapitaLand China Trust's borrowings are mostly in non-RMB too. In f...