Monday, December 29, 2008

Painful 2008, and a rude awakening/answer

Well, it's been a painful 2008. I have seen my portfolio dwindle to less than one-third YTD. 

I have stopped blogging for a few months, partly because of the losses, and partly because I am lazy. and busy 

2008 also offers a rude awakening and an answer to my hypothetical question I have often posed to myself. Is my 2007 returns due to skill or luck? 2008 answers "luck". And so, I am the fool. Hopefully, I will emerge smarter.

While I am still surviving and suffering investing pain, I am still investing. In equities. 

Probably I have this belief. 2009 will be a better year for equities. If not, 2010. 

And yes, my portfolio. I have sold Cacalo, C&G and Valutronics. Buys are China Ziano and China Fish ,which may be higher quality businesses than what I have sold. Presently, I am looking to buy a REIT, given the interesting high yield. 

Finally, I have recently read a brillant book. It is "Outliers" by Malcolm Galdwell.

Equity Risk Premium in US market

Equity Risk Premium (ERP) refers to the additional return over risk-free interest rate for holding equity.  ERP can be computed by taking ea...