Ben Carlsen's blog post has interesting statistics on average S&P decline for recessionary bear market (-39.4%) and non-recessionary bear market (-26.1%).
Now S&P is just entering bear market territory.
Ben Carlsen's blog post has interesting statistics on average S&P decline for recessionary bear market (-39.4%) and non-recessionary bear market (-26.1%).
Now S&P is just entering bear market territory.
I am thinking that the US market has a significant probablity of a >10% decline in 2026. I saw the first two charts at https://www.their...