Thursday, July 28, 2022

Started Buying

 Have dipped into my funds to started buying:

1) JPGL -- a multi-factor index fund listed in LSE. I am pondering between JPGL and IFSW (another multi-factor index fund). Decided on JPGL, as its max holding in a single stock is around 0.6% which means that it is more diversified. 

If you look at morningstar on the portfolio characteristics, JPGL scores higher on low-volatility factor, while IFSW scores higher on quality factor. Can't say which factor is better.

2) USSC -- a US value small cap fund listed in LSE. I bought LSE-listed ETF, as they may be domiciled in Ireland and hence I can save on US dividend withholding tax. 

Recent news noted that US small cap value seems to have higher ROE than US small cap growth. Given this, I think that US small cap value is cheap currently.

Sold:

1) Meta, at breakeven prices. Decide to let this go, as I don't really like the FB business

2) Essex Bio-tech. Wanted to sell and then use the proceeds to add on to my position in CNOOC. But CNOOC has run up. I will hold on to the cash then.

On T-bills, have bought

1) 1-year T-bill issued in Jul. It provides 3.1%, which is not a bad yield

Will also be buying the 6 mth T-bill this week. This will means that some of my funds are tied in T-bill till Jan/Feb next year. 

Given that SSB has been capping the amounts in recent months, it is easier to put funds into T-bills instead. 



Thursday, July 7, 2022

Half Essex Bio-Tech, thinking on 10 year bond

 I had halved my stake in Essex Bio-Tech today, as it releases a profit warning yesterday night. The decision was also due to possibility of it writing off some of its investment in a drug and my thinking that if I am to buy the stock, I will own half the stake I have.

I thought of buying 10 year Treasury bond, as US seems to be heading for recession and inflation seems to be slowing. However, I am not knowledgeable on bonds. I cannot tell how much I can lose in bonds nor how much I can gain on bonds. Thus I should pass.

I bought SG 6mths T-bill. The auction results is out and the cut-off yield is 2.66%. This is higher than last month's 2.3x%. Now the question comes if I should continue to buy more T-bill or I should hold the cash, so that I can buy stocks if market decline. 


Wednesday, July 6, 2022

Sold Rex International

Sold Rex International today at 0.255, as it falls below my stop-loss. It was a small position and I had put a mental stop-loss, as I bought it due to high oil prices but I am not very knowledgeable about the company.

In addition, Rex is much smaller than oil majors, which means that it has higher risk.

The sale and loss have reminded me that I should be more reluntant in buying stocks. Whenever I discover a new stock idea and had the impulse to buy, it is better to wait and set a lower buy point. And I should only buy stocks of companies who are of good quality. 

In addition, if I do not have strong conviction in the stock, it is best for me to put a mental stop loss i.e. treat the market price trend as knowing more than me. (Hmm, if I do not have strong conviction, why do I buy the stock in first place? It must be due to greed and over-confidence.)


Monday, July 4, 2022

Updates on Sales and Purchase in June 2022

Just updating my sales and purchases made in June

Have sold the following

- Micron -- sold half of my stake in mid-June to reduce risk of lower prices in downturn. Turns out that this move is correct now, as Micron share price falls after it provides lower guidance

- HRNet -- sold half of my stake in mid-June to raise cash. 

- Prosus -- sold all my stake, after its share price rises, as it is selling Tencent to buy its own stocks. I buy Prosus mainly for its Tencent stake. Took at loss here. But as my Tencent stake is a significant proportion of my portfolio, selling Prosus is a good chance for me to reduce concentration. I am keeping Tencent position for now. (Tencent position is a loss-making position; average buy price is $450)

Bought the following. Most are smallish position, except CNOOC

-- OXY, Rex Intl and CNOOC. They are bought as hedge. Rex Intl was bought at 0.345, so it was a loss making position. CNOOC bought due to its dividend. OXY was a Warren Buffet purchase

--United Hampshire Reit.  Buy mainly due to its high dividend yield and properties mainly in US (USD is getting stronger as interest rate rises). I will skip Euro-based Reits for now, as euro is getting weaker.

-- WBD. It's a recent merger between Warner Bro and Discovery. It has good content (e.g. DC Comics) and good distribution channel from Discovery. Down-side is that it has high debt. Thesis is that it will have cashflow to reduce its debt in next 2-3 years and market will re-rate it, as its balance sheet improves.

-- YFH Financial. Bought at $0.43. It's a value play with price-to-book of 0.4x. Its directors are buying. Downside is that it owns China debt/loans which are opaque. 

Moving forward, I am still waiting for market to go lower, to hit my buy prices of various stocks / ETFs before buying smallish position. My personal view is that this bear market has legs to run. 


Most Controversial Topics in Personal Finance by Ben Felix

Ben Felix, CIO in PWL (Canadian financial firm) regularly posts Youtube videos on personal finance and investing stuff.  Here is a video of ...